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计算机系统应用英文版:2023,32(9):239-247
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基于编程认知诊断模型的学生表现预测
(北京化工大学 信息科学与技术学院, 北京 100029)
Student Performance Prediction Based on Cognitive Diagnosis Model
(College of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China)
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Received:February 10, 2023    Revised:April 07, 2023
中文摘要: 近年来, 学生认知诊断是教育数据挖掘领域的重要研究课题, 对现代教育的精准反馈有重要的意义. 然而, 传统的认知诊断模型存在预测准确性低和处理大规模数据时效率低等问题, 且现有研究主要围绕传统线下教学展开, 缺少针对程序设计教育领域的研究. 为了解决上述问题, 本文从程序设计教育的特点分析出发, 提出了一种基于编程表现的模糊认知诊断模型P-FuzzyCDF (programming-performance-based fuzzy cognitive diagnosis framework). 具体来说, 为了处理编程题部分正确的情况, 该模型首先模糊了学生对知识点的掌握情况. 随后, P-FuzzyCDF将模糊集合理论与教育假设相结合, 对学生对问题的掌握情况进行了建模. 除此之外, 本文还考虑抄袭因素, 并最终生成学生在每个问题上的得分. 值得注意的是, 该模型利用编程教育数据可视化和精确性的特点, 对模型中每个部分的参数进行了量化. 本文基于真实数据集进行实验, 实验结果表明P-FuzzyCDF可以实现较高的精度, 其中MAEMSERMSE评估指标的值分别为0.07、0.09和0.01. 此外, 将P-FuzzyCDF与现有经典方法(如DINA, IRT和FuzzyCDF)进行比较时, P-FuzzyCDF的结果在MAEMSERMSE等指标上取得了明显优势.
Abstract:In recent years, student cognitive diagnosis has been an important research topic in educational data mining, which is of great significance for accurate feedback in modern education. However, traditional cognitive diagnosis models have problems such as low prediction accuracy and low efficiency when dealing with large-scale data. Moreover, the existing research is mainly focused on traditional offline teaching and learning, and more research is needed in programming education. To solve the above problems, a programming-performance-based fuzzy cognitive diagnosis framework (P-FuzzyCDF) is proposed from the analysis of the characteristics of programming education. First, to deal with the case of partially correct programming questions, the model fuzzes the students’ mastery of the knowledge points. Second, fuzzy set theory is combined with educational assumptions to model student mastery of the questions. Finally, students’ scores on each problem are generated by considering plagiarism factors. Notably, the model takes advantage of the visualization and accuracy of programming education data to quantify the parameters for each model component. Experiments are conducted based on real data sets, and the results show that P-FuzzyCDF can achieve high accuracy, where the values of MAE, MSE, and RMSE assessment indexes are 0.07, 0.09, and 0.01, respectively. In addition, when comparing P-FuzzyCDF with existing classical methods such as DINA, IRT, and FuzzyCDF, the results of P-FuzzyCDF are significantly better than these methods in terms of MAE, MSE, and RMSE.
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基金项目:北京化工大学校级教改项目(2021BHDJGYB16, G-JG-PTKC202107)
引用文本:
张雨婷,李征,刘勇,吴永豪.基于编程认知诊断模型的学生表现预测.计算机系统应用,2023,32(9):239-247
ZHANG Yu-Ting,LI Zheng,LIU Yong,WU Yong-Hao.Student Performance Prediction Based on Cognitive Diagnosis Model.COMPUTER SYSTEMS APPLICATIONS,2023,32(9):239-247