PM2.5 Concentration Prediction Based on Attention Mechanism and Gaussian Probability Estimation
CSTR:
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    PM2.5 is an important indicator for measuring the concentration of air pollutants, and monitoring and predicting its concentration can effectively protect the atmospheric environment and further reduce the harm caused by air pollution. As automatic air quality monitoring stations are constructed on a large scale, the air quality prediction model built by traditional machine learning can no longer meet the current needs. This study proposes a Gaussian-attention prediction model based on the multi-head attention mechanism and Gaussian probability estimation and utilizes the data from a monitoring station in Shenyang for training and tests. Because PM2.5 concentration is affected by other air quality data, this model uses the information alignment of hierarchical time stamps (week, day, and hour) of air quality data as input and extracts the time-series correlation features of different subspaces with the multi-head attention mechanism. More complete and effective feature information is thereby obtained, and prediction results are then acquired by Gaussian likelihood estimation. A comparison with multiple benchmark models is conducted, and the mean squared error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of the proposed Gaussian-attention prediction model are respectively 21% and 15% lower than that of the DeepAR model. Effectively improving prediction accuracy, the proposed model can accurately predict PM2.5 concentration.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

杨柳,张镝,李建熹,康丽荥,赵思彤.基于注意力机制和高斯概率估计的PM2.5浓度预测.计算机系统应用,2023,32(7):305-311

Copy
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:January 14,2022
  • Revised:February 15,2022
  • Adopted:
  • Online: September 01,2022
  • Published:
Article QR Code
You are the firstVisitors
Copyright: Institute of Software, Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ICP No. 05046678-3
Address:4# South Fourth Street, Zhongguancun,Haidian, Beijing,Postal Code:100190
Phone:010-62661041 Fax: Email:csa (a) iscas.ac.cn
Technical Support:Beijing Qinyun Technology Development Co., Ltd.

Beijing Public Network Security No. 11040202500063