Application of Type-2 Fuzzy Method Based on Differential Evolution and Rule Reduction in Wind Power Prediction
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    Abstract:

    Nowadays, with a higher proportion of wind power generation, wind power prediction is increasingly demanding. It is, however, not satisfyingly accurate due to the intermittent and uncertain nature of wind energy. In order to reduce the complexity of the prediction model and improve accuracy, we propose a type-2 fuzzy system based on differential evolution and rule reduction in this study. This model provides a pruning strategy for the reduction in type-2 fuzzy rules, based on which and the differential evolution algorithm is adopted to optimize the parameters of the reduced type-2 fuzzy system. Finally, the prediction accuracy of our method is higher than that of the type-1 fuzzy system and the support vector regressor, according to comparison.

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李银萍,李文峰,申存骁,张金萍,江永清.基于差分进化和规则约简的二型模糊方法在风电预测中的应用.计算机系统应用,2021,30(8):305-310

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History
  • Received:November 11,2020
  • Revised:December 21,2020
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  • Online: August 03,2021
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