基于频域扰动的时间序列可解释性方法
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国家电网信息通信分公司科技项目(529939220001)


Time Series Interpretability Method Based on Frequency Domain Perturbation
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    摘要:

    随着深度学习在时间序列分析中的广泛应用, 模型的预测性能得到了显著提升, 但其“黑箱”特性仍然限制了其在实际应用中的可信度与透明度. 目前, 虽然许多可解释性方法在一定程度上提供了对模型行为的洞察, 但它们在处理复杂时间序列数据时, 尤其是具有高频成分或长周期波动的任务中, 仍存在显著的局限性. 为解决这一问题, 本文提出了一种结合频域扰动和时间序列分段的时间序列可解释性方法. 通过短时傅里叶变换和动态时间规整算法, 本文首先对时间序列进行分段, 并通过生成对抗网络(GAN)生成频域扰动, 深入分析不同频率成分对模型预测结果的影响. 提出的方法能够在频域层面提供更精确的可解释性分析, 尤其在处理频率特征密集的时间序列任务中, 表现出明显优势. 实验结果表明, 所提方法在多个时间序列分类任务中均表现优越, 尤其在包含高频特征的任务中, 能够有效提高模型的可解释性并捕捉关键的频域特征. 与现有的基准方法相比, 我们的方法能够更精确地识别出影响预测结果的关键因素, 增强模型的透明度和可靠性.

    Abstract:

    With the widespread application of deep learning in time series analysis, the predictive performance of models has been significantly improved. However, the “black-box” nature of these models still limits their trustworthiness and transparency in practical applications. Although many interpretability methods offer insights into model behavior, considerable limitations remain when handling complex time series data, particularly in tasks involving high-frequency components or long-period fluctuations. To address this challenge, this study proposes a time series interpretability method that integrates frequency-domain perturbation with time series segmentation. By employing short-time Fourier transform and dynamic time warping algorithms, the study first segments the time series, and then generates frequency-domain perturbations using generative adversarial network (GAN) to analyze the influence of different frequency components on model predictions. The proposed method enables more precise interpretability analysis at the frequency-domain level and demonstrates particular effectiveness in tasks characterized by dense frequency features. Experimental results show that the proposed method outperforms existing methods in multiple time series classification tasks, particularly in those involving high-frequency signals. It significantly improves model interpretability and captures key frequency-domain features. Compared to benchmark methods, the proposed approach more accurately identifies the critical factors influencing prediction outcomes, thus enhancing model transparency and reliability.

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王景宇,高德荃,程佳俊.基于频域扰动的时间序列可解释性方法.计算机系统应用,2025,34(9):244-252

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-17
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-23
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