软件众包参与度影响因素分析及预测模型
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国家自然科学基金(61304237)


Participation Analysis and Predication Model of Crowdsourcing Software Tasks
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    摘要:

    随着"众包"这种商业模式的快速发展, 越来越多的互联网公司选择以"众包"的形式发布软件任务. 然而, 软件任务因其高门槛、高复杂度、长周期等特性, 面临着严重的低参与度问题. 本文结合全球最大的软件众包平台TopCoder的数据, 对软件众包任务的参与度进行研究. 首先, 使用多元回归分析了影响软件众包参与度的因素; 接着, 综合数据挖掘领域的多种分类预测算法, 探讨软件众包参与度的预测模型. 希望通过本实证研究, 为发包方、众包平台降低软件众包的低参与风险提供参考.

    Abstract:

    With the rapid development of crowdsourcing, more and more Internet companies choose to crowdsource their software tasks. However, software tasks have their own characteristics, such as high threshold, high complexity, and long period, which make them face serious problem of fewer participants. In this paper, using the data on TopCoder, which is the world's largest crowdsourcing platform for software, we carefully researched the quantity of participants of crowdsourcing software tasks. Firstly, we analyzed the factors affecting participation of crowdsourcing software tasks by multiple regression method. Then, participation prediction model was studied with classification algorithms in data mining area. We hope that this empirical study could help companies or crowdsourcing platforms reduce the risk of low participation in crowdsourcing software tasks.

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安思锦,翟健.软件众包参与度影响因素分析及预测模型.计算机系统应用,2015,24(10):9-16

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  • 收稿日期:2015-02-05
  • 最后修改日期:2015-04-02
  • 在线发布日期: 2015-10-17
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